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Backcasting To Get Things Done

Backcasting To Get Things Done

Set A Deadline And Work Backwards - Your Forward Projections May Be Too Open-Ended

Backcasting To Get Things Done
February 9, 2025 - by Paul Tomori

Elon Musk once said: "If you give yourself 30 days to clean your home, it will take you 30 days. But if you give yourself 3 hours, it will take 3 hours." and in another interview: "People often think that things take time, but they don't realize that they themselves are the ones deciding how much time it takes. They'll say, 'Oh, it's going to take a year,' and I'll ask, 'Why a year? Why not six months? Why not two weeks? What is the actual limiting factor?"

He often speaks about about first principles thinking, which is about breaking a problem down to its fundamental truths and reasoning up from there. This mindset is part of why he has been able to push aggressive timelines in industries like space travel and electric vehicles. He constantly questions assumptions, asking why something takes as long as people claim and identifying bottlenecks that can be eliminated or accelerated.

Parkinson's Law

Parkinson's Law states that "work expands to fill the time available for its completion." This means that if you give yourself a week to complete a task, it will take a week—even if it could have been done in a few hours. The law highlights inefficiency in time management, where tasks tend to stretch out unnecessarily. To counteract this, setting shorter deadlines and prioritizing work effectively can help increase productivity.


Embrace a thing called Forcing Function. Anyone who has prepped their home to be sold knows how powerful a "forcing function" can be. The creaky door gets oiled, the broken hinge gets replaced, the clutter gets taken to the dump, the broken light fixture gets replaced, the driveway cracks get filled, the ever-running toilet gets fixed, and so on. The very act of having a deadline for when potential buyers will visit your house, becomes the forcing function to overcome all procrastination. I know I have been surprised repeatedly by how nice my place looks just before it gets sold.

Setting short deadlines acts as a forcing function, meaning it compels focus, efficiency, and urgency by eliminating unnecessary procrastination and distractions. When time is limited, you instinctively prioritize the most critical aspects of a task, cutting out inefficiencies and unnecessary work. This aligns with Parkinson’s Law, preventing work from stretching beyond what’s truly needed.

For example, if you give yourself a week to write a report, you might overanalyze, research too much, or revise endlessly. But if you only have a few hours, you’ll immediately focus on the core message, work faster, and deliver a functional result.

Short deadlines force action, minimize perfectionism, and help you get more done in less time.

Backcasting is a strategic planning method where you start by defining a clear vision of your desired future state and then work backward to determine the necessary steps, milestones, and timeline to achieve that goal. Unlike forecasting, which predicts the future based on current trends, backcasting focuses on deliberately creating a path to a specific outcome.

The key difference between forecasting and backcasting is in the timeline. Looking forward, every challenge can seem daunting, but what if you set a deadline in order to remove your assumptions and self-limiting projections?

How Backcasting Works

I have seen firsthand how expensive managers will just keep kicking the can down the road for lack of a firm a deadline that would compel proper backcasting.

Backcasting PROTIPS

There is almost always an easier way to the top of what mountain you seek to summit. Backcast to get things done - take the power back.


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